The 311 consists of three NFL games that I will select using the spread or money line, one game that is selected based on the total number of points for both teams going Over or Under and one player projected production for the game and if he exceeds or falls short of that number. This will give you action every week that is based on trends and matchups.
This is Week 17 of the NFL 2022-2023 season. The 16th week of action had the favorites covering 10 times and the dogs six. The totals were six Over and 10 Under.
The team with the best record against the spread is the Cincinnati Bengals at 12-3. The teams with the best record with the total going Over are the Philadelphia Eagles, Minnesota Vikings, Chicago Bears, and Detroit Lions at 10-5. The team with the best record with the total going Under are the Denver Broncos at 11-4.
My record in last week’s 311 was 2-3 and my record for the year is 38-40-2.
Green Bay Keeps Rolling
The Green Bay Packers are hosting the Minnesota Vikings. The Packers are favored by three points. The Vikings are still in the running for the top seed in the NFC, trailing the Philadelphia Eagles by one game. The Packers are a half-game behind the Washington Commanders for a wild card spot.
The Vikings have won the last two games but did not cover in either contest. The Vikings defense has given up 300 yards passing to at least eight opposing quarterbacks this season.
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers will throw for more than 250 as the Packers keep their playoff hopes alive with a win at home. Take the Packers on the moneyline. It is projected at -175.
Prediction: Packers ML Over Vikings (-175 at BetMGM)
Watch: Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS, FuboTV
New customers at BetMGM start with a risk-free bet, up to $1000. Simply sign up, make a deposit and place your first wager. If the bet loses, you’ll receive the amount of your wager back in free bets.
49ers Face Hapless Raiders
The Raiders are the home team and have a 4-2 record at Allegiant Stadium. The Niners have won eight straight games. They are limiting their opponents to an average of 10 points in the second half of their last three games and rank third in the NFL in that category.
The Raiders have scored 16 points in the 2nd half of their last three games. The Niners will control Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr and force at least one turnover. Take the Niners minus the points.
Prediction: 49ers -6 over Raiders (-110 at BetRivers)
Watch: Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, FOX, FuboTV
Giants Dominate Colts
The Giants are fighting for a wild card berth and have an 89% chance of making the post season. The Colts have lost five straight games and are 2-5-1 on the road.
The Giants will have a distinct advantage in the coaching matchup. The Colts have nothing on offense and are playing out the string. Take the Giants minus the points.
Prediction: Giants -5 Over Colts (-109 at Unibet)
Watch: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS, FuboTV
New customers at Unibet receive a special offer worth up to $200. Join the sportsbook and they will match you first cash bet up to $50 four times for a total of $200 in free bets.
Low-Scoring Slugfest Between Ravens, Steelers
The Pittsburgh Steelers go on the road to face the Baltimore Ravens. The total is projected at 36. The last four games between these teams have not exceeded 40 points. The last four games the Ravens have played this season have not exceeded 40 points.
The Steelers have not gone over 40 in their last four contests. The recent history and the fact that this is a division contest has this game going Under. The consensus at publication has 68% of the money on the Under. Take this game Under.
Prediction: Ravens-Steelers Under 36 (-110 at Caesars)
Watch: Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC, FuboTV
Elliott to Find End Zone
Elliott has scored a touchdown in seven consecutive games. The Titans have only given up eight rushing touchdowns this season. The Cowboys should dominate the time of possession because of the lack of offensive production from the Titans. Take Elliott to score a touchdown in this game.
Prediction: Elliott Anytime TD (+105 at Bet365)
Watch: Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime
Bet $1 at Bet365 and get $200 in free bets! Just sign up and make a deposit of $10 or more, claim the offer, place a $1 bet and the $200 in free bets will be added to your account.