The 311 consists of three NFL games that I will select using the spread or money line, one game that is selected based on the total number of points for both teams going Over or Under and one player projected production for the game and if he exceeds or falls short of that number. This will give you action every week that is based on trends and matchups.
This is Week 12 of the NFL 2022-2023 season. The eleventh week of action had the favorites covering six times and the dogs seven, and a push. The totals were six Under and eight Over. The team with the best record against the spread is the Tennessee Titans at 7-2. The team with the best record with the total going Over is the Cleveland Browns at 7-2-1. The team with the best record with the total going Under is the Denver Broncos.
My record in last week 311 was 2-2-1. 311 record for the year is 27-26-2.
Miami Big Favorites Over Houston
The Dolphins lead the AFC East with a record of 7-3. Since Miami wants to maintain their lead over the Buffalo Bills they will want the game more than a Texans team that is looking to get the number one pick in the NFL Draft.
The moneyline for the Dolphins is awful at -700. Take the Dolphins and lay the points.
Prediction: Vikings -13 over Texans (-110 at BetMGM)
Watch: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS, FuboTV
Washington will Commandeer Atlanta
The Washington Commanders are hosting the Atlanta Falcons. The Commanders are favored by four. Washington is fourth in the NFC East at 6-5 and have won four of their last five. They are still in the playoff hunt, probably fighting for a Wild Card spot.
The Falcons are 1-4 on the road. Atlanta has not covered in three of their last four against the spread. Atlanta is playing for a high draft pick and won’t be that motivated to win. Take Washington minus the points.
Prediction: Commanders -4 over Falcons (-110 at BetRivers)
Watch: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX, FuboTV
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Ravens Handle Jaguars
The Ravens are first in the AFC North with a record of 7-3. The Jags are 2-3 at home and are coming off a bye week. Baltimore has won four straight games. Ravens have held their last two opponents to 16 points.
Ravens win this game minus the points.
Prediction: Ravens -4 over Jaguars (-109 at Unibet)
Watch: Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS, FuboTV
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Bill-Lions Get Points Happy
The final game of Thanksgiving is the Buffalo Bills at the Detroit Lions. The total in this game is 54.
The Lions have scored over 30 points times in each of the last three games. The Bills have scored over 25 points in three of their last four games.
Four of the last five Thursday Games in the NFL have went over the projected total. After factoring in the short work week, expect the high scoring to continue. This game goes over.
Prediction: Lions-Bills Over 54 (-110 at Caesars)
Watch: Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET, CBS, FuboTV
Pollard Runs to Over
Dallas Cowboys running back Tony Pollard total rushing yards is 67.5. The price for the Over is set at -110 on Bet365.
Pollard has gone Over the projected number in four consecutive games. The New York Giants gave up more than 150 yards to the Detroit Lions in their loss this past Sunday.
With a short work week due to the game being played on Thanksgiving, Pollard should get at least 12 or more carries. He averages 5.9 yards per carry. Take Pollard Over.
Prediction: Tony Pollard Over 67.5 rushing (-110 at Bet365)
Watch: Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET, FOX, FuboTV
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