The 311 consists of three NFL games that are selected using the spread or money line, one game that is selected based on the total number of points for both teams going Over or Under and one player projected production for the game and if he exceeds or falls short of that number. This will give you action every week that is based on trends and matchups.
This is Week 11 of the NFL 2022-2023 season. The tenth week of action had the favorites covering six times and the dogs eight. The totals split with seven Under and seven Over. The teams with the best record against the spread are the Tennessee Titans and New York Giants at 7-2.
The team with the best record with the total going Over are the Cleveland Browns at 6-2-1. The team with the best record with the total going Under are the Denver Broncos at 8-1.
My record in last week’s 311 was 2-3 and my record for the year is 25-24-1.
Bills Get Back on Track Against Cleveland
The Cleveland Browns travel to face the Buffalo Bills. The Bills are favored by eight points. The Bills are coming in off a tough overtime home loss to the Minnesota Vikings with a final score of 33-30 as a 6.5-point favorite.
The Browns are looking to end their one game losing streak. Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson is practicing with the team but is not scheduled to return until the December 4th game against the Houston Texans.
After allowing 39 points in a loss to the Miami Dolphins, the Browns will wish Watson was playing this week so they could keep pace with the Bills offense. Take the Bills over the Browns.
Prediction: Bills -8 over Browns (-110 at BetMGM)
Watch: Sunday 1 p.m. ET, CBS, FuboTV
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Giants Make Small Work of Lions
The New York Giants are hosting the Detroit Lions. The Giants are favored by three points. The Giants are second in the NFC East at 7-2.
The Lions are coming in off a 31-30 win against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. The Giants are one game behind the Philadelphia Eagles for the division lead.
The Giants also have covered 77.8% of their games. This is the second straight road game for the Lions. Detroit is 1-3 on the road. Take the Giants minus the points.
Prediction: Giants -3 over Lions (-105 at Caesars)
Watch: Sunday 1 p.m. ET, FOX, FuboTV
Ravens Big Favorites Over Panthers
The Baltimore Ravens are hosing the Carolina Panthers. The Ravens are favored by 12 points. The Ravens are coming off a bye week after defeating the New Orleans Saints 27-13.
The Panthers have a 3-7 record and will start quarterback Baker Mayfield who has been out with a concussion. The Ravens have won three games in a row.
Baltimore needs the game to stay within one game of the best record in the AFC. The Miami Dolphins are 7-3 and the Kansas City Chiefs are 7-2. The Panthers have covered three of their last four games. Take the Ravens money line and avoid laying double digits.
Prediction: Ravens ML over Panthers (-670 at BetRivers)
Watch: Sunday 1 p.m. ET, FOX, FuboTV
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Expect Points a Plenty with Cowboys-Vikings
The Dallas Cowboys go on the road to face the Minnesota Vikings. The total in this game is 47.5. The teams have played three times in the last three years and two of the games have gone over.
Both teams allowed more than 30 points to their opponents in their last game. The teams have averaged more than 25 points in their last three games. This game goes over.
Prediction: Cowboys-Vikings Over 47.5 (-110 at Caesars)
Watch: Sunday 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS, FuboTV
Derick Henry Finds the End Zone
Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry as an anytime touchdown scorer is a solid prop bet. The price is set at -125 on Bet365.
Henry has nine touchdowns this season, all of them rushing. The Green Bay Packers defense has allowed nine rushing touchdowns this season. Expect a heavy dose of Henry on a short work week. Take Henry to score a touchdown.
Prediction: Derrick Henry anytime TD (-125 at Bet365)
Watch: Thursday 8:15 p.m. ET, Amazon Prime
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