Week 4 of the NFL season winds down with tonight’s Monday Night Football and we have an intriguing matchup to bet. The New York Giants (1-2) host the Seattle Seahawks (2-1) in an NFC showdown at Metlife Stadium.
The line has been doing some crazy things leading up to kickoff. Seattle opened as a one-point road favorite, then the line swung as the Giants became 1.5-point favorites, but then as the week progressed, the Seahawks became favorites once again.
Odds Spread ML Total
Seattle -1.5 (-110) -125 Over 47 (-110)
NY Giants +1.5 (-110) +105 Under 478 (-110)
Odds courtesy of BetMGM
Therefore, this is projected to be a very tight contest with some decent scoring potential. The total opened at 45 points and gradually moved up to the 47-point area.
Star running back Saquon Barkley is doubtful for the Giants while tight end Noah Fant is questionable for the Seahawks.
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Seahawks Outlook
After a shocking 30-13 Week 1 home blowout loss to the Los Angeles Rams, the Seahawks have looked solid, recording back-to-back wins at the Detroit Lions (37-31) and at home against the Carolina Panthers (37-27).
Despite their 2-1 record, there is still a red flag to note, though. Seattle has a 30.3% third down conversion rate compared to 57.45% by their opponents. While the sample size is still small with just three games played, it’s still something to be aware of.
Kenneth Walker has led a decent ground attack that’s averaged 4.1 yards per carry for 104.3 rushing yards per game while the Seahawks have done a very nice job preventing opposing rushing attack. Seattle has allowed just 2.9 yards per carry for 79.3 rushing yards per game. That’s third best in NFL. Since Barkley will likely miss this game, that could spell trouble for New York’s backups and therefore put more pressure on Daniel Jones as a passer.
Most of the offensive production will be generated by quarterback Geno Smith, wide receivers DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, in addition to Walker. This is one of the more concentrated offenses and it should head into this game with a lot of confidence after putting up 37 points in back-to-back weeks.
Giants Outlook
It’s been a really weird start to the year for the Giants. They got shut out and embarrassed by the Dallas Cowboys at home in Week 1, when they lost 40-0. Then in Week 2, they had a miraculous 31-28 comeback win at the Arizona Cardinals. Last week, the San Francisco 49ers trounced them to the tune of 30-12 when they were forced to play without Barkley.
In that loss to the Niners, the G-Men amassed 29 rushing yards as Matt Breida and Gary Brightwell combined for 22 yards on eight carries. Now against what has been a great Seahawks run defense, this could be another bad week for New York’s offense. Expect Jones to shoulder a lot of the load and be forced to make things happen in the air.
The Giants defense hasn’t created a single turnover. Therefore, New York’s offense likely won’t be able to capitalize on any short fields.
Take Giants and Points
Kate Constable: Giants +1.5
The Giants have had a rough start to the season, but they’ve also played two of the leagues’ best teams in the Cowboys and 49ers. Other than one half against Arizona, their offense has been pretty non-existent and they won’t win this game unless they’re able to turn that around.
I have faith that’ll be the case against the Seahawks. For as good as Seattle’s offense has been this year, scoring 37 points in each of its last two games, its defense has given up at least 27 points in all three games this year. It also allowed each opposing quarterback to throw for over 320 yards. If there is any game where Jones should be able to turn things around, it’s this one. Plus, with the Seahawks having to make the cross-country trek, I’ll back the home team getting the points.
Giants Win Straight Up
Matt Horner: Giants ML
Seattle is 2-1 and coming off back-to-back victories over the Lions and Panthers. So, why are they an underdog to 1-2 New York, which has looked absolutely disgusting through three weeks?
If not for the Cardinals being also atrocious, they would be 0-3, and the public already hates them. Feels like a trap to me with what I would guarantee will be a public dog in Seattle. I’ll back the Giants at home against a very bad Seahawks defense.
Seahawks Will Cover Again
Lucy Burdge: Seahawks -1.5
The Seahawks have covered their last two spreads, while the Giants are 0-3 ATS and still haven’t been able to get the offense going for a full game. Pete Carroll is 20-6 ATS in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. He is also 52-26 ATS versus teams allowing at least 350 yards per game. The Seahawks managed to beat a good Lions team behind Geno Smith in Week 2 and the Giants will likely be without Barkley again, so I really like the Seahawks to cover this MNF spread.
Brad Pinkerton: Giants QB Daniel Jones Any Time TD
Caesars hung this number a little too high at +200 for a QB as mobile as Jones. That’s especially true if the Giants are without Barkley again going up against a defense that has already allowed five rushing scores through three games. I’ll sprinkle a little now and will wait to see how Jones’ ATTD prices move with injury updates on Barkley’s status for MNF to possibly add more on Monday.
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