Hey there, baseball enthusiasts and betting aficionados! With the 2024 MLB season kicking off, it’s time to dive into the thrilling world of league-leader sleeper picks. The beauty of these deep sleeper picks lies in the excitement of discovering the chance to score some seriously great odds. Betting on these sleeper picks isn’t just about the game; it’s about unearthing the diamonds in the rough and cashing in on the unexpected. Get ready to root for your picks and enjoy the thrill of turning those calculated risks into big wins! Let’s explore the markets for the most hits, home runs and RBI and reveal the best deep sleeper picks.
Jung Hoo Lee To Lead MLB In Hits (+4000, BetMGM)
After signing a six-year, $113 million contract to join the Giants from the KBO, Lee is going to hit leadoff for San Francisco and make a name for himself based on his elite contact-hitting skills and ability to barrel up pitches. Lee has shown an ability to adjust to MLB pitching during Spring Training, reacting well to fastballs and breaking pitches and interestingly, the biggest adjustment he’s going to have to make is factoring in release points.
“Velocity is velocity, but the pitchers here in the Major Leagues are really tall, so their release point is high,” Lee said during Spring Training, per MLB.com. “That makes the ball look faster. They have different types of movement and travel differently. What I’ve been doing all winter is working with all these kinds of stuff.”
Expected to hit leadoff for the Giants, the left-handed-hitting Lee should get plenty of opportunities to rack up hits immediately after recording a wildly impressive 1,181 hits in 884 career KBO games with a .340 career average overseas. It’s also notable that he had only 304 strikeouts and 383 walks in the KBO, so he should be able to put a lot of balls in play. Lots of experts compare him to Luis Arraez (with a bit more pop) sooner rather than later. This has been quoted as short as +2500 elsewhere, so take advantage of these odds ASAP!
Julio Rodriguez To Lead MLB In Home Runs (+6000, Caesars Sportsbook)
When we’re looking at this market, we need to look outside the box in order to get past some of the more obvious names that have short odds. Rodriguez ticks a lot of boxes. First, he had 12 opposite-field home runs last season, tied for the MLB lead, and was arguably the best hitter in the sport for two months of the year. While he finished with 32 bombs on the season, the 23-year-old and his 6’3, 228-pound frame is ready to take another step forward.
Per Statcast, Rodriguez ranked 13th in Hard Hit Rate (52%), 14th in Average Exit Velocity (92.7 miles per hour) and will be playing half of his games at T-Mobile Park, which ranks 18th in HR Park Factor over the last three seasons, which is essentially right in the middle of the pack. With another offseason of development behind him, he should continue to improve across the board.
As mentioned above, he was arguably the best hitter in the game for a stretch of last season. He hit .308 in the second half (compared to just .249 in the first half) and hit 19 homers in 68 games in that span after hitting 13 in 87 games in the first half. He clearly made some impressive in-season adjustments and was able to crush pitchers down the stretch. There’s no reason to not assume that he can carry that success and confidence into 2024.
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Royce Lewis To Lead MLB In RBI (+10000, BetMGM)
Injuries have unfortunately been a part of Royce Lewis’ young career, but he’s been sensational when healthy. The 24-year-old has played 70 career Major League games and drove in 57 runs, including 52 RBI in 58 games played last season. With 15 home runs as well, he’s shown impressive pop and now enters the new season as Minnesota’s starting third baseman. He should also hit cleanup behind Edouard Julien, Carlos Correa, and Byron Buxton.
Known as Mr. Grand Slam to Twins fans, Lewis has hit five grand salamis in those 70 career games played, which is pretty wild. That success probably won’t continue, but it does point to how clutch he’s been with guys on base.
With bases empty, he slashed .297/.354/.490 and with guys on base, he slashed .321/.377/.625. Not only that, but with runners in scoring position, he was extremely clutch (.380/.443/.789), and with bases loaded, he put up a video game slash line (.583/.615/1.833). Over the course of the full season, the young Twins slugger will have an immense amount of upside and we should all be rooting for him to stay healthy so we aren’t robbed of watching a special player flourish. This is listed at +10000 at BetMGM, but as short as +3500 elsewhere, thus representing a ton of value.
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