With the 2023 NFL season on the horizon, it’s a great time to gaze into the future and see which futures bets our staff likes.
From Super Bowl odds to awards sleepers, we’ve found some serious values on the NFL futures markets with these picks below.
New York Jets Under 9.5 Wins
The total wins for the New York Jets is 9.5 with the Under at +115 at Caesars.
The addition of quarterback Aaron Rodgers is a massive upgrade to this Jets roster but that doesn’t automatically mean you should bank on New York winning 10+ games. The Jets’ regular-season schedule is the seventh-hardest of any team and it opens the season with the hardest schedule through the first six weeks. They’re at home against the Buffalo Bills in Week 1 before playing the Dallas Cowboys in Week 2. New York then plays the New England Patriots, Kansas City Chiefs, and Philadelphia Eagles at home. They then face the Denver Broncos on the road. It wouldn’t be shocking to see the Jets’ record sitting anywhere from 1-5 to 2-4 through that stretch.
The offensive line is also a bit of a concern with it ranking 24th heading into the season. The Jets have dealt with quite a few injuries on the O-line in previous seasons and its pressure rate (35.9%) is much worse than what Rodgers was used to in Green Bay. The Jets will be more competitive this year, but I don’t think they’ll win 10 games. – Kate Constable
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Miami Dolphins to win Super Bowl
The Miami Dolphins are +2300 at Unibet to win the Super Bowl.
We’ve already seen this number go down quite a bit from +3300 since the beginning of free agency, but it’s still a great value here. There are many things that I like about Miami that make me believe the Dolphins can shock people this season.
First off, this is a team that had a ton of promise last season before the injuries to Tua Tagovailoa. When healthy, he made huge strides in becoming a franchise QB in 2022. With a cast of extremely talented wide receivers like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, combined with a rushing attack that comes right out of the Kyle Shanahan playbook from head coach Mike McDaniel, this offense was pumping on all cylinders.
Second, Miami has also improved the defense, which was a real problem last season, by trading for cornerback Jalen Ramsey, signing linebacker David Long Jr. and re-signing OLB Andrew Van Ginkel. With all the attention going to Buffalo and New York in the AFC East, Miami is quietly a team that I think people should look at more seriously. – Matt Horner
Patriots to Make the Playoffs
The New England Patriots are +270 at BetRivers to make the playoffs.
With the changes the Patriots have made this offseason — notably bringing in Bill O’Brien to replace Matt Patricia as offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach, I think the Patriots have a great shot to make the playoffs this season.
They failed to make the playoffs last year and lasted a quick minute in the playoffs the season before. But Mac Jones finally seems comfortable with the coaching structure around him and I think that will go a long way to helping this team make the playoffs even in a tough division. – Lucy Burdge
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Tua Tagovailoa to win MVP
I’ll piggy-back Matt’s pick above and take Tua Tagovailoa for MVP at +1600 at BetMGM. This is really a bet on the oft-injured QB staying healthy, which is a long-shot in itself, but that’s why we’re getting +1600 here. If Tag stays healthy, he’s going to put up video-game numbers in this offense (again), especially if the defense isn’t significantly better (call me skeptical on that one). And with a healthy Tagovailoa, the Dolphins will certainly have a shot at replacing Buffalo atop the AFC East — and maybe even challenging the Chiefs for AFC supremacy — which will bolster Tua’s MVP case. As far as value goes on the preseason awards futures, I love a little sprinkle right now on Tua to take home MVP in 2023 — don’t wait too long because those odds will shrink after every week he plays. – Brad Pinkerton
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