Getting early line value in NFL betting is crucial for bettors looking to maximize their potential profits. The opening lines for NFL games are often set well in advance of the actual matchup, and they can be influenced by various factors such as injuries, team performance, and public sentiment.
By identifying and capitalizing on early line value, bettors can lock in favorable odds before they adjust to reflect the most up-to-date information. This strategic advantage allows bettors to secure more favorable point spreads or moneyline odds, increasing their chances of winning and ultimately enhancing their overall profitability. Scroll down to see three games that present excellent opportunities for early line value right now.
Cowboys -3.5 vs. Jets, Under 45.5
After the injury to New York Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers on Monday Night Football, this line is going to move a ton. Considering that this Dallas Cowboys team just absolutely embarrassed the New York Giants by the score of 40-0 on Sunday Night Football and looked absolutely unstoppable on the road, Zach Wilson and this Jets offense are going to be in a very scary spot heading into this contest.
I expect a very low-scoring game as well because I do respect New York’s defense and generally don’t trust Dak Prescott’s ability to protect the football. With that being said, I’ll comfortably play the Cowboys up to -6.5 and the total down to 40.
New users can place a sports cash wager at Caesars Sportsbook of $10 or more and receive 1,000 Reward Credits, 1,000 Tier Credits AND if you lose the first real money bet you place, receive a bet up to $1,250!
Buccaneers -3 vs. Bears
I’ll admit that I didn’t expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to travel to the Minnesota Vikings and earn a victory in Week 1, but that’s exactly what they did as the Baker Mayfield Era got off to a nice start. This line swung, as the Bucs opened at +1.5, clearly a result of Week 1.
Not only did Tampa Bay win, but the Chicago Bears were thoroughly outplayed by the Green Bay Packers at Soldier Field, losing 38-20. Justin Fields looked lost with the ball in his hands and I expect Todd Bowles and his staff to craft up a solid defensive game plan to make him uncomfortable yet again.
I’ll play the Buccaneers to -6.5 and trust that Mayfield can do some damage with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin since Jordan Love threw three touchdown passes against this Bears defense in Week 1.
Dolphins at Patriots Over 47.5
This total opened at 45 and started to climb after the Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Chargers were engaged in a Week 1 shootout. Miami escaped with a 36-34 victory in that one and their passing offense was insane. Tua Tagovailoa went 28-for-45 passing for 466 yards, three touchdowns and an interception and Tyreek Hill went off with 11 catches for 215 yards and two scores.
While New England Patriots’ Bill Belichick’s defenses typically don’t give up chunk plays, Hill and this offense looked unstoppable last week and will likely make stuff happen downfield. Meanwhile, Bill O’Brien is back as Patriots OC and it’s clear that he won’t be afraid to pass the football this season. Mac Jones went 35-for-54 for 316 yards, three touchdowns and an interception against the Eagles and New England scored 20 points, which was more than I thought they’d put up.
I don’t expect another shootout, but after New England passed the ball 54 times and ran it 22 times while Miami passes the ball 45 times and ran it 20 times in Week 1, I’m certainly on the over and will play it up to 50. The more presumed passing downs, the higher the scoring potential.
New sportsbook customers at Unibet receive a special offer worth up to $200. Join the sportsbook and they will match your first cash bet up to $50 four times for a total of $200 in free bets.
