Last week, if you followed the advice in our five bets, you cashed tickets on the Over 1.5 quarterbacks chosen in Round 1 of the NFL Draft, saw the Utah Mammoth take out the Vegas Golden Knights on Friday, watched the DC Defenders defeat the Birmingham Stallions, and finally, on Saturday, witnessed the Yankees Over the Texas Rangers.
We didn’t suggest parlaying, but if you did… wow!
So here we go for this weekend’s action!
Habs Hold On
Friday, May 1
The Montreal Canadiens haven’t won a Stanley Cup since 1993. They were actually the last Canadian team to do so. But they can take one step closer if they defeat the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 6 of the first round in this year’s playoffs. Leading 3-2, they can knock out the Bolts with a win.
The Logic: While it’s not the Forum anymore, the Bell Centre will be electric on Friday in hopes of the knockout punch. The Habs should be getting plus money, so it’s even a better reason to bet them. Plus, Tampa is 1-4 in the last five closeout games. Make the bet and add the Under 5.5 goals. Three of the five games have gone under that total so far.
New York State of Mind
Sunday, May 3
Let’s go back to the Yankees well again. They are arguably the best team in the majors right now, and they host a Baltimore team that is struggling.
The Logic: The Yanks have shown a strong run differential early. If they’re favored around -130 to -150, the run line (-1.5) could offer value if their starter is solid. And you don’t get much more solid than Max Fried, who has clearly picked up the slack while waiting for Gerrit Cole to get healthy. Take the money line and the run line.
Desperate in Detroit
Friday, May 1
Detroit is the top East seed and desperate after falling to the Orlando Magic 3-1. After winning at home in Game 5, they are now facing an elimination scenario on the road. Detroit has looked surprisingly vulnerable against the #8 seed Magic, who have played them extremely tough, especially defensively.
The Logic: Orlando has already won multiple games in this series, including road wins earlier. Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner (if healthy), and Desmond Bane have given Detroit problems. The Magic’s defense is elite and can force Detroit into tough shots.
Detroit should be favored by one or two points, so take the Magic to win and move on to the second round.
Fleetwood Trumps
Sunday, May 3
The PGA tournament returns to Miami this weekend at the Trump Doral course. It’s a Signature Event ($20M purse, no cut, limited field)—the PGA Tour’s first visit back to Doral’s famous Blue Monster in a decade. The course is long (7,739 yards, par 72), demanding strong driving, precise iron play, and good scrambling due to its penal setup with water, bunkers, and tough rough.
The Logic: As usual, Scottie Scheffler is favored to win at somewhere between +300 and +330. But let’s go for something a lot more feasible: Tommy Fleetwood Top 10 finish (currently around +170 to +200 depending on the book).
Fleetwood is a proven elite ball-striker with excellent iron play, which is the most important skill on the long, demanding Blue Monster with its firm greens. He ranks among the most consistent performers in tough, long courses and Signature Events, and tends to grind out solid finishes without needing to go ultra-low every round.
Fulham Flops
Saturday, May 3
We go across the pond to the English Premier League for this bet. Arsenal is battling Manchester City for the top of the table in the EPL and needs every point. It’s going to cost you lots of minus action, but it’s almost a lock.
The Logic: Fulham are a solid middle-of-the-road team, but have struggled away against top sides. Home dominance for Arsenal is a reliable trend—they win most matches at the Emirates by controlling the game. Arsenal has a 70%-75% win probability here, making the moneyline a solid favorite play with decent implied edge.
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