Through the first ten weeks of the season, Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is the betting favorite to win the NFL MVP in consecutive seasons and for the third time since 2019. Jackson is currently +110 odds at BetMGM.
Josh Allen (+350) from the Buffalo Bills and Patrick Mahomes from the Kansas City Chiefs (+700) are Jackson’s closest competition. Probably the biggest surprise is Washington Commanders rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, who recently saw his MVP odds jump to +1500.
UPDATED NFL MVP ODDS
Lamar Jackson +110
Josh Allen +350
Patrick Mahomes +700
Jalen Hurts +1300
Jayden Daniels +1500
Jared Goff +2000
Kyler Murray +2000
Brock Purdy +2200
Joe Burrow +3000
Derrick Henry +5000
QB or Not QB
The highest non-quarterback on the awards board at BetMGM is running back Derrick Henry at +5000 odds. Henry, Jackson’s teammate with the Ravens, is posting magnificent stats in his first season in Baltimore.
Threepeat for Lamar Jackson?
The Ravens (7-3) are the highest scoring team in the NFL at 31.8 ppg. Jackson is on pace to set career highs in yardage and passing touchdowns. He tossed 24 touchdowns last season in 16 games, but already has 24 through 10 games this season. He averages 267 passing yards per game and he’s on pace to reach 4,000 yards for the first time by the end of December. He’s averaging a career-high 9.3 yards per pass and only tossed two interceptions in 288 passing attempts.
With the addition of Henry, the Ravens don’t have to rely on Jackson in the running game which alleviated that burden. He’s still an offensive threat when plays break down and has scored two rushing touchdowns. He rushed 91 times with 538 rushing yards and averaged 5.9 yards per carry.
In the preseason, Jackson was fifth on the awards board to win back-to-back MVPs at +1200 odds. He’s now -110 odds and the gap between him and the chase pack is growing.
Josh Allen Seeks First MVP
The Buffalo Bills are 8-2 and have an upcoming showdown against Mahomes and the Chiefs that could determine the #1 seed in the AFC. The Bills are undefeated at home with the Chiefs visiting in Week 11.
The Bills Mafia are all-in on Allen and feel he’s the guy to lead them to the Promised Land. However, Josh Allen has never won the AFC Championship or secured a trip to the Super Bowl.
Allen’s passing numbers are often compared to previous seasons. His streak of four straight seasons with more than 4,200 passing yards is in jeopardy. Through 10 games, Allen completed 63.5% of his passes for 2,281 yards and only 17 touchdowns.
His rushing numbers are down, but Bills Mafia will tell you that’s a good thing because it will prolong his health and longevity. He rushed only 55 times for 261 yards and four touchdowns.
When the season began, Allen was second on the board to win the MVP at +800 odds. He’s still second on the board, but his odds are now listed at +350.
Mahomes Gunning for Third MVP
If you’re looking at raw stats, Patrick Mahomes does not have eye-popping numbers this season. He is completing a career-best 69.5% of his passes, but only passed for 2,208 yards with 12 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Those are not exactly MVP-like numbers, but then again, the Chiefs are 9-0 and have yet to lose a game since last Christmas.
The undefeated Chiefs won a lot of close and ugly games this season. Mahomes generates just enough offense to squeeze out a win, but he’s engineered multiple comeback victories which is why his MVP odds are so high. He’s the true definition of “most valuable player” despite the subpar stats.
Mahomes was the betting favorite to win the MVP in the preseason at +650 odds at BetMGM. He was overtaken by Jackson and Allen even though they both lost games and Mahomes is still undefeated. If Mahomes can go on the road and beat the Bills in Buffalo, you can expect his odds to pull closer to Allen’s or even jump ahead of him.
A Case for Rookie Jayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels is a near lock to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year, and he’s currently -3000 odds at BetMGM. Bo Nix from the Denver Broncos is his only competition, but it’s not even a close comparison. Nix led the Broncos to a 5-5 record, but Daniels and the Commanders are 7-3 and have a chance to win the NFC East and secure a home playoff game.
Under Daniels, the Commanders are tied for the third-highest offense in the NFL that generates 29 ppg.
After losing his debut in Week 1, Daniels went 7-2 as a starter over the last nine games. His two losses in that stretch were decided by one score including a seven-point loss against Jackson and the Ravens in Baltimore in Week 6, and a tough one-point loss against the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 10.
Daniels completed 68.7% of his passes for 2,147 yards with nine touchdowns and only two interceptions. He also rushed for four touchdowns and averages 5.5 yards per carry with 464 yards. He has a QB rating of 101.7 and his QBR is 71.2.
Daniels is currently fifth on the BetMGM awards board to win the MVP at +1500 odds, where he’s even ahead of Joe Burrow. You cannot ignore the sentiment of the betting market that thinks Daniels is a Top 5 quarterback right now.
MVP Long Shots: Jared Goff and Kyler Murray
The Detroit Lions (8-1) are on a mission to win the NFC Championship and punch their ticket to the Super Bowl. The Lions are the second highest-scoring team and averaged 31.6 ppg, or just 0.2 less than the Ravens. The Lions have the highest point differential at +113 and steamrolled opponents with Jared Goff under center.
Goff passed for at least 4,400 yards in each of the last two seasons. He only has 2,080 yards through nine games and might fall short of hitting the 4K mark for the fifth time in his career. He’s completing a career-best 71.8% of his passes for 8.6 yards per throw. He has 16 touchdowns and nine interceptions.
In the preseason, Goff was tied for 17th on the board to win the MVP at +5000 odds. You can take a flier on him right now at +2000 odds.
Along with the Commanders, the Arizona Cardinals (6-4) are the other surprise team in the NFC. If the season ended today, the Cardinals would earn the #4 seed in the playoffs as the NFC West division champ.
A healthy Kyler Murray has looked like his old self after he blew out his ACL at the end of the 2022 season and missed the first half of the 2023 season. He’s completing a career-high 69.2% of his passes for 2,058 yards with 12 touchdowns and three interceptions. He averages 8.1 yards per carry and also scored four rushing touchdowns.
Just like Goff, Murray was +5000 odds to win the MVP during the preseason. His current MVP odds vastly improved with the success of the Cardinals.
21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
