Josh Allen, the heart and soul of the Buffalo Bills, is the consensus favorite to win the NFL MVP award in consecutive seasons. Allen is currently +110 odds to win another MVP according to BetMGM.
Over the last 25 seasons, voters prefer to avoid giving out the MVP to the same player who won the previous season. Aaron Rodgers is the last player to win consecutive MVP awards in 2020 and 2021. Since 2000, Peyton Manning is the only other player to win back-to-back MVP trophies.
Josh Allen: MVP Reprise (+110)
After the first four weeks of the season, the Buffalo Bills are the team to beat as the only undefeated squad in the AFC at 4-0. The Bills are the betting favorite to win Super Bowl 60 at +400 odds according to BetMGM. It’s not a surprise to see Josh Allen’s name at the top of the MVP awards board at +110 odds.
In his eighth season in Buffalo, Allen completed 70.2 percent of his passes for 964 yards, seven touchdowns, and only one interception. He added 159 rushing yards on 31 carries with three more touchdowns. He’s ranked second in QBR at 77.7 and fourth overall in passer rating at 109.7.
Lamar Jackson: Second Favorite Despite Slow Start (+650)
The Baltimore Ravens began the season at 1-3, but their three losses occurred against a trio of last year’s playoff teams. Despite a tough schedule in September, the Ravens lost close games against the Bills in Week 1 in a one-point thriller and lost to the Detroit Lions by eight points in Week 3.
The Ravens have the NFL’s third-most potent offense that averages 32.8 points per game. Lamar Jackson leads the NFL with 10 touchdown passes. The dual-threat, Jackson also rushed 21 times for 166 yards and one touchdown while averaging 7.9 yards per carry.
With the lackluster offensive line struggling to slow down defenders, only the Tennessee Titans and Cam Ward sustained more sacks (17) than Jackson (15) through four games. A banged-up Jackson exited Week 4 with a hamstring injury, and his status for Week 5 is questionable.
Despite a 1-3 start, Jackson is still second on BetMGM’s awards board to win a third MVP at +650 odds. He previously won in 2019 and 2023.
Justin Herbert: Bolts QB Seeks First MVP (+700)
Justin Herbert looked outstanding in his first three games and helped the L.A. Chargers defeat three division opponents. In Week 4, the Chargers lost two starting offensive linemen to injuries, which resulted in their first loss of the season. Their offensive line is currently tied for fifth in the NFL, allowing 12 sacks.
Despite the cluster injuries on the O-line, Herbert is ranked third in completions (95) and attempts (149). He’s ranked fourth in passing yards (1,063) with seven touchdowns and three interceptions. Herbert is third overall in the MVP race at +700 odds.
Patrick Mahomes: Hat Trick for Pat? (+1000)
After a sluggish 0-2 start, the Chiefs are back on track after winning two games in a row. Patrick Mahomes threw four touchdowns for the first time since 2023 when he lit up the Ravens in a Week 4 blowout.
With opposing defenses deathly afraid of the Chiefs beating them deep with big plays, Mahomes and the offense take what they can get with small-ball plays against two-high safeties and aggressive blitzing. Mahomes has been using his feet this year, and he’s on pace to set a career-best in rushing yards and rushing touchdowns. He scored twice on the ground while averaging 5.9 yards per carry. Mahomes is currently ranked third in QBR at 75.1 with seven touchdowns and only one interception.
With many of Mahomes’ favorite targets missing time due to injuries (Xavier Worthy) or suspension (Rashee Rice), expect the offense to be firing on all cylinders by the second half of the season. If the Chiefs finish strong, Mahomes will be a contender to win his third MVP award. He won his first MVP in 2018 during his first year as a starter and added a second MVP in 2022. Mahomes is fourth on the awards board at +1000 odds.
Jalen Hurts: Reigning Super Bowl MVP (+1400)
The defending champion Eagles are one of two remaining undefeated teams at 4-0. Sure, all four victories were in one-score games, but Jalen Hurts has yet to lose a game this season. Since the start of last season, Hurts is 20-3 as a starter, including playoff games.
Out of all quarterbacks who started four games, Hurts leads the league with zero interceptions. Hurts threw five touchdowns and rushed for four more. Even though the “Tush Push” is under more scrutiny than ever, Hurts orchestrates the unstoppable short-yardage play to perfection.
Although Hurts won the MVP of Super Bowl 59, he’s considered an under-the-radar pick to win this year’s MVP at +1400 odds because he’s not putting up huge offensive numbers, and the Eagles have not crushed teams like they did last season.
Jordan Love: Mayor of Lambeau (+1500)
In his third season as a starter, Jordan Love is on pace for a career year with the Green Bay Packers. He completed 69.4 percent of his passes for 1,000 yards. He also threw eight touchdowns with one interception. He’s ranked fifth in yards, fourth in yards per catch (8.3), and tied for third in touchdowns. He’s also ranked second with a 113.0 passer rating. After a 2-0 start, the Packers went 0-1-1 in their last two games, and Love saw his MVP odds dip to +1500.
Matthew Stafford: Old Grizzled Gunslinger (+1700)
The L.A. Rams were worried when Matthew Stafford sat out the preseason due to a back injury. After a rusty Week 1, Stafford looked like his old self in the last three games. He is ranked #2 in the NFL with 1,114 passing yards and averages 278.5 yards per game. He’s tied for third with eight touchdowns. He sealed a victory against the Colts in Week 4 with an 88-yard touchdown bomb, which is the longest touchdown pass in the NFL this season.
If Stafford remains healthy and the Rams continue to thrive, consider him a legit MVP contender this season. He’s currently +1700 odds to win his first MVP trophy.
Baker Mayfield: Fourth Quarter Hero (+2200)
Mayfield spearheaded three comeback wins for the Tampa Bay Bucs late in the fourth quarter to start the season 3-0. But Mayfield Magic ran out in Week 4 when they lost to the defending champion Eagles. Still, Mayfield has established himself as a dangerous foe and a fun player to watch because no lead is safe if you’re playing against the Bucs.
Baker Mayfield tossed eight touchdowns and one interception in four games, but he’s completing just 59.7% of his passes. Right now, you can back him at +2200 odds to win the MVP.
Daniel Jones: Comeback Kid (+5000)
A revitalized Daniel Jones won his first three starts as a member of the Indianapolis Colts. Jones battled injuries in his two previous seasons with the downtrodden New York Giants, in which he posted a 3-13 record in his last 16 starts.
Out of all quarterbacks who started four games, Jones is ranked #1 in QBR at 79.3, and his passer rating is 103.1. He’s ranked third in the league with 1,078 passing yards and averages 269.5 yards per game. He threw four touchdowns and ran for three more scores. He also has an impressive 71.9% completion rate.
The Colts and Jones received a lot of hype after their hot 3-0 start, and he saw his MVP odds jump from the bottom of the board into the Top 10. Jones is still a long shot to win MVP at +2200 odds after coming back down to Earth a bit following their first loss of the season in Week 4 against the Rams.
If you’re looking to back Jones in an awards race, he’s currently the second betting favorite to win the NFL Comeback Player of the Year at +350 odds behind Christian McCaffrey (+150).
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