NFL Thursday Night Football Picks: First Half Over Best Bet

Thursday Night Football starts Week 2 of the NFL season and our experts have tips on some of the best bets for the game.

Another week of NFL games is here, and that means it’s time to cash some NFL bets! This week’s Thursday Night Football clash features the Minnesota Vikings at the Philadelphia Eagles in what should be an entertaining NFC showdown, and we’ve got the inside scoop on where to place your bets.

The expert team at BetQL has dissected the stats, analyzed player form and scrutinized past performances to bring you the most informed NFL picks for this prime-time battle.

Our NFL picks are the result of a thorough process that combines data-driven analysis with a deep understanding of the game. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just starting out, our NFL picks are tailored to give you the upper hand.

So, join us as we break down the key players, strategies and potential game-changers in this electrifying contest. Below, you’ll see a betting breakdown with expert NFL picks, including sleeper picks and epic sportsbook promotions to cash in on!

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Take First Half Over

Dan Karpuc: First half Over 23.5 (-122)

Philadelphia’s defensive strengths are in their front seven and that was obvious last week against the New England Patriots when they allowed 76 rushing yards on 22 carries. However, they allowed Mac Jones to throw for 316 yards as New England’s game plan was focused on throwing the football, throwing the ball 54 times.

I expect the Vikings, who are coming off a shocking home loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, to rely on their passing game, just like the Pats did in Week 1. Minnesota also threw the ball 44 times for 344 yards and rushed  17 times for 41 yards in a Week 1 loss. I expect more passing for the Vikings here and look out for Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison, who I expect to be fully unleashed this week.

Now let’s talk about Philly’s offense. We want to target this group in the first half only, specifically their passing game. Last season, Jalen Hurts ranked eighth in the NFL in first-half pass attempts. He was 24th in second-half pass attempts and 32nd in fourth-quarter pass attempts.

In other words, when Philly got out to leads, they tried to control the clock and opted to keep the ball on the ground, which makes sense (and caps scoring potential for both teams). I don’t expect this year to be any different.

Hurts and the Eagles got off to a slow start in New England. They should be able to create some chunk plays at home against a suspect Vikings secondary. I think this is clearly the most valuable bet on the board for Thursday Night Football.

First Half Over Popular Pick

Kate Constable: First half Over 23.5 (-122)

Dan gave a great analysis about why you should take the over in the first half. So, instead of repeating what he wrote, I’ll give you a few numbers to back up the argument. Both teams were top-10 in offensive pace of play last season. So we can expect multiple possessions for each team. Philadelphia also averaged 2.3 scores in the first half compared to 1.6 in the second half, according to EV Analytics. But the main reason I really like this play is because our BetQL model has been on fire when it comes to projecting first-half totals for Vikings games. They have hit 60% of the time. With the model making this a five-star play, I’ll gladly follow this trend and take over 23.5 through the first two quarters.

Substitute Pick Should Come through

Brad Pinkerton: Eagles Dallas Goedert TD (+260)

My original pick was Kenneth Gainwell anytime TD, but he missed practice with a rib injury on Tuesday. A TD from TE Dallas Goedert (+260) is a fine replacement for value. You can even use all the same analysis above, just pretend Sirianni said, “I don’t ever want to come out of a game where [Dallas Goedert] has only [one target].”

So let’s switch to another great value and take Vikings ML +270 as well.  We only need the Vikings to go up by seven to cash this. Play the Eagles ML at another book and try to “double dip” if the Vikings go up by seven but lose.

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