As the ultimate game of the year, the Super Bowl attracts lots of “live” wagers. Since it is the last game of the season, bettors want to be in on the action right to the end. But the Seahawks vs. Patriots in Super Bowl 60 creates a unique challenge for halftime live bettors.
This season, both Sam Darnold and Drake Maye produced strong records against the second-half spread.
Including the postseason, Darnold finished 11-7-1 ATS in the second half. Since last season, he owns a 21-15-1 second-half ATS record.
Over the same two-year frame, Maye finished 17-13-2, including 11-8-1 this year.
Super Bowl Spread: Live Betting the Second-Half ATS
Maybe it speaks to the relative ease of New England’s schedule, but Maye has put up strong second-half metrics with a narrow first-half margin.
This season, the MVP Race candidate finished 7-2-1 ATS in the second half when tied or leading by 1-4 points at halftime. He simultaneously went 9-1 SU in those games.
The complication? Darnold dominated opposing defenses in a negative second-half game stat.
Dating back to last season, Darnold finished 11-2-1 ATS when tied or trailing, including 9-1-1 trailing at halftime.
Just with Seattle: 6-0-1 ATS when tied or trailing, including 4-0-1 when trailing.
How about the other side? Darnold finished 5-7 ATS with Seattle leading at halftime. Since last season: 10-13 ATS.
This angle also presents a complication. Maye has rarely trailed at halftime, going 1-0 ATS in the second half trailing and 2-0-1 when tied or trailing.
Since last season: 5-1-1 ATS when tied or trailing.
Super Bowl Over Under: Live Betting the Second-Half Total
New England generally proved a second-half Under team. After going 9-8 to the Under during the regular season, all three New England playoff games finished Under the second-half total.
Seattle narrowly profited bettors taking second-half Overs. Through 19 games, Seahawks games are 10-9 to the Over in the second half.
Low second-half totals are where Seattle profited bettors the most. This season, eight Seattle games saw a second-half total listed at 20.5 or lower.
Those games finished 6-2 to the Over. Otherwise: 4-7.
On the other side, New England consistently saw games finish Under high second-half totals.
When the second-half total closed 21.5 or higher: 7-4 to the Under. At 20.5 or lower: 5-4 to the Under.
If the offenses start slow, look to make a second-half Over prediction. If the teams start fast—think: lots of explosive plays for touchdowns—a second-half Under may be worth a look.
Super Bowl Betting Trends: Second Half ATS & O/U Records
The last 21 Super Bowls have generally seen second-half Overs produce better records. Since 2005, Super Bowl second halves are 12-9 to the Over.
That sample includes three straight successes. In those three games, at least one team managed 20 or more points in the third and fourth quarters.
Over the same timeframe, underdogs have profited bettors on the second-half spread.
In the last 21 Super Bowls, second-half dogs are 12-8-1 ATS, including 4-1 over the last five Super Bowls.
Dogs trailing by at least four points at halftime are 6-1 ATS since ‘05. Second-Half Favorites trailing at the half by four or more are 0-2 ATS.
Meanwhile, Super Bowl teams leading by at least a touchdown at halftime are 3-7 ATS since ‘05.
This is it until August, so make it count. And most of all, have fun.
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